Caribbean Disturbance Likely to Develop into Tropical Depression Soon
A disturbance in the southwestern Caribbean Sea is expected to develop into a tropical depression soon, with potential flooding impacts on Caribbean islands and South Florida. The system may track towards the Gulf Coast, but uncertainty remains regarding its strength and trajectory. Additionally, Subtropical Storm Patty has formed in the North Atlantic, which is expected to weaken by Sunday.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has indicated that a disturbance in the southwestern Caribbean Sea is poised to develop into a tropical depression within the coming days. As of Saturday morning, this system consists mainly of disorganized showers and thunderstorms but is expected to show signs of gradual development over the weekend. The NHC projects that the system may attain tropical storm strength soon, coinciding with the naming of Rafael in the event of such development. Meteorologist Bryan Norcross from FOX Weather states that there is a strong likelihood the system will reach the southern Gulf by Wednesday or Thursday, with ample tropical moisture threatening flooding across the Caribbean islands west of Puerto Rico starting Monday, potentially extending its effects into South Florida by midweek. Upon entering the Gulf, the forecast uncertainty increases due to weak steering currents. Norcross notes that if the system maintains weaker characteristics, it is likely to drift west towards the Mexican coast. Conversely, should it strengthen, a more northern trajectory towards the U.S. Gulf Coast may occur. However, hostile atmospheric conditions such as dry air and unfavorable winds could hinder significant strengthening. Therefore, the probability of a notable storm affecting the U.S. remains low, and should the system reach the U.S. coast, it is anticipated to happen around next weekend.
The article discusses current weather disturbances in the Caribbean and Atlantic, focusing on a disturbance that may develop into a tropical depression in the Caribbean Sea. The text references the National Hurricane Center’s monitoring of this weather system, as well as a subtropical storm named Patty in the North Atlantic. It provides insights into the projected development of both storms and their potential impact on weather conditions in the regions they traverse. With the Atlantic hurricane season concluding on November 30, the article emphasizes the increasing urgency of tracking these systems to mitigate flooding and storm impacts, particularly in the Caribbean and southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
In conclusion, the National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring a disturbance in the southwestern Caribbean Sea, which is likely to evolve into a tropical depression within days. With the potential for significant flooding in the Caribbean and possible impacts on the Gulf Coast, the situation requires vigilant observation. Additionally, the formation of Subtropical Storm Patty in the North Atlantic further underscores the dynamic nature of the hurricane season as it nears its conclusion.
Original Source: www.fox13news.com
