Tropical Wave in Caribbean Shows High Likelihood of Development:…

A tropical disturbance in the Caribbean has a nearly certain chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm within days, prompting warnings for the Cayman Islands and Jamaica. Another system is gradually developing to the north of Hispaniola, while Subtropical Storm Patty is impacting the Azores, expected to weaken soon.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), a tropical disturbance in the Caribbean exhibits a “near 100% chance” of development as it continues to progress northward or northwestward. The system is projected to undergo gradual development over the upcoming days, with expectations that a tropical depression may form by Monday or Tuesday. Forecasters indicate that within the next 48 hours, the likelihood of development remains at nearly 100%, persisting for the next week. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to assess the wave on Sunday. Meteorologist Eric Stone from Max Defender 8 noted, “Models show this moving into the central Gulf of Mexico and likely become a tropical depression early this week and a tropical storm by Tuesday or Wednesday.” As a precautionary response, a Hurricane Watch has been established for the Cayman Islands, accompanied by a Tropical Storm Warning for Jamaica. Additionally, another weather system situated north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico is slowly intensifying. The NHC reports that this particular wave is anticipated to be absorbed by the more robust system by Monday, with a limited chance of development, recorded at 20% over the next week. In the far eastern Atlantic, Subtropical Storm Patty continues to influence the Azores, producing sustained winds of up to 50 mph as it advances eastward; however, a weakening trend is expected in the days ahead.

This article discusses a developing tropical wave in the Caribbean Sea that has the potential to strengthen into a significant weather system. The National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring the situation and has issued various warnings as the disturbance is likely to impact surrounding regions, including the Cayman Islands and Jamaica. Additionally, the article provides insights into other weather systems in the Atlantic, showcasing the need for vigilance in weather monitoring.

In summary, the National Hurricane Center has identified a tropical system in the Caribbean with a very high probability of development, expected to result in a tropical depression or storm imminently. The potential hazards associated with this system have prompted official warnings for the Cayman Islands and Jamaica. Meanwhile, the presence of an additional, less likely developing system in proximity to Hispaniola and Puerto Rico is also noted, alongside Subtropical Storm Patty in the eastern Atlantic, highlighting the ongoing need for close observation and preparedness in affected areas.

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