Hurricane Rafael Downgrades to Tropical Storm Status with Expected Path to Mexico
Hurricane Rafael has weakened to a tropical storm with 70 mph winds and is moving west-northwest at 5 mph. Expected to further weaken and turn toward Mexico, it poses no threat to the U.S., except for possible rip currents. The NHC is monitoring low development chances of a thunderstorm area near the Leeward Islands.
The National Hurricane Center reports that Hurricane Rafael has significantly diminished in intensity, now classified as a high-end tropical storm. The storm currently exhibits maximum sustained winds of 70 mph, with a slow west-northwest movement at 5 mph. Forecasters anticipate a continued weakening trend for Rafael as it is expected to make a sharp turn toward Mexico later this weekend. Importantly, no impacts to the United States are anticipated, aside from potential rip currents along the coast. At present, Rafael is situated approximately 240 miles north of Progreso, Mexico, and about 460 miles east of the mouth of the Rio Grande. The central pressure measured at this time is 989 mb. In addition, behind Rafael, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of thunderstorms near the Leeward Islands, however, the likelihood of development remains low, currently assessed at just 10%. Observations will continue in the forthcoming days as the situation develops.
Tropical storms like Rafael often form in warm waters and can rapidly intensify or weaken depending on environmental conditions. The process of rapid weakening is not uncommon for storms that transition from hurricane status to tropical storm designation, particularly when they encounter cooler waters or wind shear. The National Hurricane Center (NHC) plays a critical role in tracking these storms and providing updates to the public, emphasizing safety and preparedness as key factors in storm response. Monitoring areas of potential development, such as the thunderstorms near the Leeward Islands, is crucial for forecasting future hurricane activity.
In summary, Hurricane Rafael has transitioned to a tropical storm, featuring sustained winds of 70 mph and a slow northwest movement. The forecast predicts continued weakening and a substantial shift toward Mexico. As it stands, the United States faces no immediate threats from Rafael, aside from isolated risks of rip currents. The National Hurricane Center’s ongoing surveillance of storm activities in nearby regions further underscores the dynamic nature of tropical weather systems.
Original Source: www.alabamawx.com
