The Prospective Benefits of a Trump Presidency for Egypt

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The article discusses the potential benefits for Egypt under a Trump presidency, highlighting President Sisi’s positive outlook on renewed U.S. relations. It contrasts Trump’s approach to foreign policy emphasizing alliances with authoritarian leaders and anticipated military and economic support for Egypt, while Biden’s administration took a stance more critical of human rights issues in the country. Trump’s re-election could lead to increased U.S.-Egypt cooperation devoid of human rights scrutiny, strengthening Egypt’s geopolitical position in regional conflicts.

The potential for Egypt to benefit from a re-election of Donald Trump as U.S. President looms large, particularly under the leadership of President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi. Trump, who previously showed a disregard for human rights in favor of strongman alliances, is expected to renew trade and military deals with Egypt, contrasting sharply with the more scrutinizing stance taken by President Biden. Sisi has publicly celebrated Trump’s victory, viewing it as an opportunity to solidify Egypt’s influence in regional geopolitics. Under the Trump administration, there is an anticipation of an unimpeded partnership where issues such as Egypt’s human rights record may be overlooked to foster diplomatic and military ties. Trump’s past presidency forged a controversial bond with Sisi, with Trump notably labeling him a “favorite dictator” and expressing admiration for strongman governance. This relationship has translated into support within military and economic realms, including substantial arms imports which peaked during Trump’s administration. As Egypt navigates its role in conflicts such as those involving Israel and Hamas, Sisi’s regime is likely to welcome a renewed partnership devoid of human rights scrutiny that Obama and Biden had previously highlighted. Egypt’s strategic position as a mediator has only intensified its value to U.S. interests, and this means that under a Trump administration, one can expect increased military assistance and leniency regarding Sisi’s authoritarian practices. Reports have indicated that the Trump administration would favor Egypt in the geopolitical chess game, where human rights violations remain sidelined in favor of maintaining strategic alliances and cooperation in military efforts against shared threats in the Horn of Africa region.

The dynamics of U.S.-Egypt relations have fluctuated markedly over the past few years, especially with the contrast between the Trump and Biden administrations. Trump’s first term was characterized by a hands-off approach toward Africa, except when it involved strong leaders whom he could align with politically. In contrast, Biden’s administration placed greater emphasis on human rights, leading to a freezing of aid based on Egypt’s human rights record. Additionally, Egypt’s role in mediating conflicts, such as the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, has underscored its strategic importance as an ally for the U.S. The restored relationship promised under a Trump return indicates a broader acceptance of authoritarian governance in exchange for geopolitical stability.

In conclusion, a potential return of Donald Trump to the presidency suggests a renewed era of preferential treatment for Egypt under President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi. This partnership is anticipated to prioritize military and trade relations while circumventing the discussions surrounding human rights. As Egypt continues to play a critical role in regional conflicts and diplomacy, it is poised to leverage its strategic assets in a favorable political climate, perhaps with diminished critique of its domestic policies. The implications of such a relationship highlight the complexities and shifting priorities in U.S. foreign policy, particularly in alignment with non-democratic regimes if it serves broader geopolitical objectives.

Original Source: foreignpolicy.com

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