Erdogan’s Policies in Syria Heighten Tensions Between Turkey and Israel
Tensions between Turkey and Israel are escalating due to conflicting interests in Syria and heightened anti-Israeli sentiment in Turkey following the recent Hamas-Israel conflict. Scholarly insights suggest the possibility of confrontation as both nations stake claims. Erdogan’s political pressures and internal opposition complicate relations, emphasizing the necessity for diplomatic engagement to avoid military conflict.
The evolving dynamics in the Middle East, particularly regarding the ongoing conflict in Syria, are intensifying tensions between Turkey and Israel. Recent anti-Israel demonstrations in Istanbul, following the escalation of hostilities between Israel and Hamas, have highlighted President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s long-standing opposition to Israeli policies. As Turkey asserts itself in the Syrian conflict, the previously quiet Israel-Turkey border may soon become a flashpoint for potential military confrontation, which scholars suggest is increasingly likely given the current geopolitical landscape.
The conflict initiated on October 7, 2023, saw Hamas launch an unexpected offensive against Israel, leading to a widespread war that has significantly altered the regional balance of power. Dr. Hay Eytan Cohen Yanarocak, a Turkish expert, revealed, “Erdogan thought this war was just another round of violence. But after a few weeks, he realized Israel was waging an all-out war on Hamas, causing a deterioration in relations with Israel.”
Turkey’s growing influence in Syria presents stark implications for its relationship with Israel. Historically, Turkey has maintained a stance against Israel due to its support for the Palestinian cause, leading to waxing and waning diplomatic relations over the years. According to Prof. Efrat Aviv, “Turkey is very adamant about its interests in Syria, and Erdogan wants to cement his influence there.” As Turkey’s involvement increases, particularly in areas with Kurdish populations, Israel’s covert support for these groups complicates matters further, placing both nations on a collision course.
Erdogan faces internal pressure to adopt a tough stance against Israel, fearing political backlash amid growing anti-Israeli sentiment among his constituents and the opposition. This political backdrop alludes to historical tensions, such as the 2010 Gaza flotilla incident that severely impacted bilateral ties. Though there were attempts to reconcile relations in recent years, notably after the appointment of Israel’s President Isaac Herzog in 2022, tensions remain high.
While Turkey desires to solidify its political and military foothold in Syria, Israel is equally intent on countering Iranian encroachments from neighboring territories. The recalibration of military strategies on both sides could lead to hostilities. Prof. Aviv noted, “Israel cannot allow Iran to be at its northern borders even at the cost of a confrontation with Turkey.”
Consequently, the present trajectory suggests that without significant diplomatic interventions, an escalation between Israel and Turkey could materialize, fueled by national interests and regional complexities. As opposing forces build along Syria’s borders, the necessity for cautious diplomatic engagement retains its importance amid rising military posturing.
The relations between Turkey and Israel have experienced significant fluctuations over the last decade, driven primarily by geopolitical events in the region and internal political pressures in both countries. The Syrian conflict has become a critical battleground where both nations assert their influence, leading to a reevaluation of their bilateral relations. As Hamas continues to engage militarily with Israel, Turkey’s support for the Palestinian cause exacerbates the already strained ties, suggesting that the fallout from the Syrian war and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict could culminate in a more confrontational relationship between them.
The potential for direct confrontation between Turkey and Israel is increasing as regional dynamics shift, particularly in light of the Syrian war and the ongoing conflict with Hamas. Historical grievances, coupled with Erdogan’s need to appease domestic sentiment and Israel’s determination to counter Iranian influence, create a precarious situation. It is crucial for both nations to engage in ongoing diplomatic efforts to avert military escalation and preserve regional stability while addressing mutual concerns.
Original Source: www.jpost.com
