Impact of Syria-SDF Agreement on Iraq’s Security and Politics

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A peace agreement in Syria between the transitional government and the SDF aims to foster stability and recognition of Kurdish rights. While Kurdish leaders in Iraq express optimism about regional implications, political analysts remain doubtful of the agreement’s feasibility. Key provisions include equal political opportunities and a ceasefire, but skepticism abounds regarding implementation and geopolitical dynamics.

A historic peace agreement was signed in Damascus between Syria’s transitional government and the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), igniting cautious optimism among Iraqi Kurdish leaders. Nevertheless, political analysts remain doubtful regarding the ambitious plan’s feasibility. This agreement, finalized by interim president Ahmed Al-Sharaa and SDF Commander Mazlum Abdi after extensive negotiations, aims to establish stability, unity, and democratic reforms in a country ravaged by conflict.

The core provisions of the agreement include ensuring equal political opportunities for all Syrians, with roles in governmental institutions allocated based on merit rather than ethnicity or religion. Importantly, the previously marginalized Kurdish community has been recognized as integral to the state, receiving essential citizenship rights and constitutional protections. The deal also mandates a nationwide ceasefire and the integration of civil and military institutions in northeastern Syria under the control of the central government, including critical infrastructure like border crossings and oil fields.

Iraqi Kurdish political leaders have expressed strong support for the agreement, viewing it as a potentially stabilizing influence on the region. However, the Iraqi government has remained silent on the matter. Fethullah Husseini of the Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria stated, “The deal will establish peace and stability in Syria, thereby positively affecting stability in Iraq and the wider Kurdish region.”

Pavel Jalal Talabani, President of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, described the agreement as a positive step toward coexistence. Nechirvan Barzani, President of the Kurdistan Region, extended congratulations to Syrians, highlighting the necessity of safeguarding the rights of all communities and actively participating in Syria’s reconstruction.

Despite this optimism, analysts such as Kamaran Mantik express skepticism about the agreement’s practical implementation. Mantik pointed out that fundamental differences exist between the visions of the Kurds and the Syrian government, questioning Damascus’ genuine commitment to peace. Furthermore, he emphasized that international geopolitical rivalries complicate Syria’s future, stating, “International powers are currently in conflict, each aiming to shape Syria according to their interests.”

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio welcomed the agreement, advocating for credible non-sectarian governance. Meanwhile, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan expressed support for its full implementation, stating, “The winners will be Syrians.” As Syria approaches a pivotal moment, the success or failure of the Damascus agreement will be instrumental in determining the country’s prospects for long-lasting peace.

The peace agreement between Syria’s transitional government and the SDF represents a significant step forward, particularly for the Kurdish community. While Iraqi Kurdish leaders celebrate the potential regional benefits, acute skepticism persists among analysts regarding the agreement’s sustainable viability amidst historical tensions and geopolitical complexities. The future of Syria hangs in the balance, hinging on the ability of the agreement to foster genuine stability and unity.

Original Source: www.newarab.com

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