What Lies Ahead for Ethiopia-Eritrea Relations: Advancing Cooperation or Returning to Deadlock?

Ethiopia and Eritrea have a complex historical relationship characterized by conflict and attempts at reconciliation. The 2018 peace agreement marked a significant turning point, leading to the reopening of borders and improved diplomatic ties. Factors influencing their relations include colonial legacies, power struggles, and critical issues such as Ethiopia’s access to the Red Sea. Ongoing dialogue and collaboration, supported by the international community, are essential for fostering sustainable peace and stability in the region.
Ethiopia and Eritrea share a complex history marked by periods of intense conflict and recent attempts at cooperation. The dynamics between these two nations were significantly altered in 2018 when they signed a peace agreement, ceasing decades of hostility following the Eritrean-Ethiopian War. This accord, a result of Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s reforms, allowed borders to reopen, flights to resume, and telecommunications to reconnect, fostering reconciliation among families formerly divided by war.
This article examines the myriad factors influencing contemporary Ethiopian-Eritrean relations, including lingering colonial legacies, societal narratives, and political power struggles. These divergent strains often impede lasting cooperation, as seen in the forced annexation of Eritrea under Emperor Haile Selassie I and the resultant conflicts. A more democratic approach during the early years of Eritrean independence could have mitigated deep-rooted animosities and enhanced stability.
Following Eritrea’s independence, the relationship between the two nations was dominated by power dynamics, especially contrasting ideologies between the EPLF and the TPLF. The absence of strategic agreements led to escalated tensions, culminating in the war from 1998 to 2000. A focus on cooperative frameworks addressing border issues, citizen rights, and economic partnerships might have fostered a more peaceful division.
The 2018 peace agreement, initiated independently by both Ethiopia and Eritrea, represented a pivotal development in revitalizing their bilateral ties. This newfound cooperation provided Eritrea with opportunities to escape its international isolation while securing Ethiopia’s northern border. The peace accord allowed both countries to mitigate previous tensions and work towards mutual benefits.
Furthermore, the Pretoria Peace Agreement in November 2022 created a pathway for peace beyond the Tigray region, marking another significant step towards stability in Ethiopia as a whole. Nonetheless, Eritrea’s discontent with this agreement signals potential complexities in ongoing relations.
Ethiopia’s quest for access to the Red Sea remains a crucial consideration, given its landlocked status since Eritrea’s independence. Addressing this issue diplomatically could prevent further misunderstandings. Conservative engagement on both sides is essential to foster discussions rather than confrontation. If approached wisely, both nations could enhance regional stability and prosperity, benefiting from a collaborative partnership.
To achieve lasting peace, it is vital for Ethiopians and Eritreans to acknowledge the historical context of their current relationship. The cycle of conflict has yielded only destruction and suffering. Thus, both nations must seek paths towards shared interests and reconciliation while the international community, including organizations like the AU and UN, should facilitate these efforts independently.
The academic community also has a role in promoting sustainable peace by providing research that informs better policy frameworks. Ultimately, a commitment to constructive dialogue and cooperation is essential for promoting long-term stability in the Horn of Africa.
In summary, Ethiopian-Eritrean relations have been profoundly affected by historical conflicts and power dynamics, yet recent peace accords suggest a hopeful trajectory towards cooperation. Both nations hold a shared responsibility to learn from the past and prioritize diplomatic dialogues to foster stability. By addressing key issues collaboratively and appealing for international support, they can pave the way for a more peaceful and prosperous future. Academic contributions will also be crucial in guiding policy recommendations that ensure enduring stability in the region.
Original Source: addisstandard.com