IMF Warns of Economic Collapse in St. Vincent and the Grenadines and Other Low-Income Nations

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The IMF has cautioned that St. Vincent and the Grenadines, along with several low-income countries, faces potential economic collapse due to rising debt distress. Approximately 60% of poor nations risk severe economic downturns as debt relief programs expire and interest rates rise. Immediate international cooperation is critical for effective debt restructuring and economic recovery.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a warning regarding the economic distress faced by St. Vincent and the Grenadines, along with several other low-income nations, indicating a risk of “economic collapse.” As articulated by Kristalina Georgieva and Ceyla Pazarbasioglu, approximately 60% of the world’s poorest countries are currently in or at risk of debt distress.

Among the nations highlighted as being in jeopardy are St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Haiti, and several Pacific island nations, including the Maldives and Micronesia. The expiration of the Group of 20’s debt-service suspension initiative at year-end, compounded by rising interest rates, presents a significant challenge for low-income countries attempting to manage their debts.

The IMF officials emphasized that some countries may face severe economic consequences unless G-20 creditors expedite debt restructuring and temporarily suspend service payments during negotiations. The COVID-19 pandemic has severely impacted economies, worsening conditions to the point where an estimated 100 million individuals may revert to extreme poverty. The emergence of the omicron variant further complicates recovery efforts.

Georgieva and Pazarbasioglu have urged G-20 nations to enhance the existing common framework designed for loan restructuring, which has faced operational delays and a deficiency of engagement from debtor countries. Only a few countries have taken advantage of the program since its launch in November 2020.

Upon the expiration of the debt relief initiative, debtor nations will be obliged to recommence debt repayments, with IMF officials stressing the necessity for immediate actions to foster confidence in the restructuring framework. A July 2021 report indicated St. Vincent and the Grenadines’ economy contracted by 3.8% in 2020 due to a staggering decline in tourism, predicting a further contraction of 6.1% in 2021 due to the impact of the La Soufriere volcanic eruption on agriculture and related sectors.

The IMF’s warning underscores the precarious economic situation of St. Vincent and the Grenadines and similar nations. Rising debt distress, compounded by the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and the expiration of debt relief programs, necessitates prompt and comprehensive action from G-20 creditors to avoid economic collapse. Enhancing support frameworks for debt restructuring is critical to fostering recovery and supporting vulnerable economies in their time of need.

Original Source: wicnews.com

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