Oman’s Diplomatic Stance Amid Syrian Regime Change and Regional Dynamics

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The article explores Oman’s response to the sudden regime change in Syria after the fall of Bashar al-Assad. It highlights Oman’s unique diplomatic ties with Syria during the civil war and the complex societal reactions to the change, which encompass support for the Iran-aligned resistance, concerns over Islamist governance, and hope for a new inclusive regime. The article also discusses rising anti-Israel sentiments in Oman and the Sultanate’s focus on preserving Syria’s territorial integrity while maintaining a pragmatic foreign policy.

The sudden collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria on December 8, ending 61 years of Baathist governance, surprised the Gulf states, as rebel forces swiftly overtook several cities in just 11 days. In the aftermath, the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states, seeking to maintain regional stability and prevent potential power vacuums, are pragmatically engaging with the newly established Islamist leadership in Damascus. Oman, uniquely among the GCC, had maintained diplomatic ties with Syria, never fully downgrading relations even amidst the civil war. The Sultanate’s approach, characterized by caution and neutrality in regional conflicts, is now being recalibrated in the context of the recent upheaval.

Despite Oman’s relatively low-profile engagement following Assad’s downfall, it acknowledges the necessity of adapting to new political realities in Syria. The Omani government, while advocating for respect for the Syrian people’s will, aims to preserve the country’s unity and territorial integrity. Historically, Oman has navigated complex relationships with power transitions in the region, emphasizing continuity and the importance of a diplomatic approach. The discourse surrounding Syria within Omani society, however, reveals a more complicated picture, marked by various perspectives on the implications of Assad’s exit and the future trajectory of the country.

Three main narratives have emerged among the Omani populace regarding the regime change. Some citizens, aligned with the Iran-led “Axis of Resistance,” perceive Assad’s fall as detrimental, viewing his government’s prior ties with Iran and support for Palestinian causes as paramount. Conversely, another segment views the 2024 revolution positively, hoping for a more inclusive governance model under the Islamist leadership. Lastly, a cautious narrative expresses concern that the rise of Islamist authority might yield a less democratic governance, potentially hindering the region’s stability.

The environment in Oman has further complicated since the onset of Israel’s intensified military actions in Syria post-December 8, provoking widespread outrage. Increased anti-Israel sentiment is palpable in Oman, particularly in light of images from the Gaza conflict, which have fostered solidarity among its citizens in opposing Israeli aggressions. The Grand Mufti of Oman, a significant religious figure, embodies the duality of sentiments—expressing support for the Syrian populace while remaining critical of Assad’s adversities. Despite these sentiments, Oman continues to adopt a foreign policy framework that emphasizes neutrality and non-interference, adhering to its longstanding tradition since the reign of Sultan Qaboos.

In summary, Oman’s complex response to the Syrian regime change reflects its broader geopolitical ethos, balancing domestic sentiments with a pragmatic and cautious diplomatic approach. While the Sultanate champions humanitarian considerations and solidarity against foreign aggression, it remains committed to fostering positive relations with Syria’s evolving political landscape, striving for stability in a region fraught with volatility. As the situation develops, Oman’s role as a neutral facilitator remains crucial in navigating the intricacies of Middle Eastern politics.

The article delves into the implications of regime change in Syria following the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad, emphasizing the reaction of Oman amidst this geopolitical shift. With the historical context of Oman’s diplomatic relations with Syria through the civil war and its distinct policy approach characterized by neutrality and non-interference, the response and sentiments within Omani society showcase the complexities of internal narratives regarding the Syrian conflict. These dynamics are further compounded by rising tensions due to Israel’s military actions in the region and the global implications for Middle Eastern stability.

In conclusion, Oman’s approach to the recent regime change in Syria illustrates its commitment to maintaining stable diplomatic relations while being aware of internal societal sentiments. The country navigates a dual narrative—supporting Syria’s territorial integrity while responding critically to both local and international challenges. As a potential mediator, Oman aims to foster dialogue and stability in a rapidly changing Middle Eastern landscape, reflecting its longstanding foreign policy principles of non-interference and balanced relations.

Original Source: arabcenterdc.org

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