Heat Wave Update for March 2025: Ongoing Extreme Temperatures in IGAD Region

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The March-May 2025 seasonal forecast shows a high likelihood of warmer-than-normal conditions in the IGAD region. Weekly forecasts indicate persistent temperature anomalies throughout the Greater Horn of Africa, with extreme temperatures reported in South Sudan, Uganda, and Kenya. Notably, temperatures exceeded 40°C in parts of South Sudan, raising concerns for human and livestock well-being.

In March 2025, the 69th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 69) reported a forecast predicting warmer-than-normal conditions across the IGAD region. The International Climate Prediction and Application Centre (ICPAC) emphasized the necessity for follow-ups on forecast updates, particularly on the sub-seasonal scale, which is crucial for identifying potential climate hazards.

Throughout February 2025, weekly forecasts confirmed ongoing warmer-than-usual temperature anomalies throughout the Greater Horn of Africa. This increase heightens the potential for extreme temperature hazards in the region. Notably, temperature analyses revealed that various areas in South Sudan, Uganda, and northern and western Kenya reported extreme temperatures.

During February 2025, average daily maximum temperatures surpassed 38°C in much of South Sudan, southeastern Sudan, northern Kenya, and southern Somalia. Certain locations in South Sudan and Kenya recorded daily maximum temperatures reaching 40 degrees Celsius, which poses emerging risks to human health, livestock, and socio-economic activities.

The information highlights the urgency for preparedness and response measures in the face of these extreme temperature events, given their potential adverse effects on communities and livelihoods throughout the IGAD region.

In conclusion, the ongoing extreme temperatures in the IGAD region, as indicated by GHACOF 69 and subsequent forecasts, raise significant concerns for human and economic well-being. The persistence of warmer-than-average conditions is likely to persist, with specific communities in South Sudan and adjacent areas experiencing dangerously high temperatures. Continuous monitoring and proactive measures are essential to mitigate the impacts of these climatic extremes.

Original Source: reliefweb.int

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